https://www.decision-machine.com/blog daily 0.75 2022-05-24 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5310cef7e4b08602cbfa36bf/1410290887106-J9M9RVLBXQU0ADDH8TVG/Stills22.jpg Decision Machine Labs https://www.decision-machine.com/blog/2022/5/24/dissipation-in-financial-markets monthly 0.5 2025-01-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/dd66a5aa-7032-4542-96a6-a256480bbbd9/ScienceML+Probabilities.png Decision Machine Labs - Dissipation in Financial Markets - Make it stand out Figure 2. Market closing prices (input, bottom plot) for ZIM. Energy measured from equilibrium (middle plot). Both non-thermal (green/red dotted) and thermal probability (green/red solid) are in top plot. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/c4edcdad-1416-4684-bfcd-22ff303dd59f/Temperature+and+Free+Energy.png Decision Machine Labs - Dissipation in Financial Markets - Make it stand out Figure 3. Plots of temperature and free energy over three months using six months of closing prices. Provides evidence that asset prices for ZIM have been far from either statistical or thermal equilibrium. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/4691c682-c067-4004-bffb-6878633d17bc/Open+System+Architecture.png Decision Machine Labs - Dissipation in Financial Markets - Make it stand out Figure 1. Architecture of the financial market open system. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/5a6c4d17-96f8-4c19-89b9-c4251fa82a4c/Systems.PNG Decision Machine Labs - Dissipation in Financial Markets - Make it stand out Table 1. Compares the different types of scientific systems: isolated, closed, and open. https://www.decision-machine.com/blog/tag/ScienceML monthly 0.5 https://www.decision-machine.com/blog/tag/Financial+Markets monthly 0.5 https://www.decision-machine.com/blog/tag/Machine+Learning monthly 0.5 https://www.decision-machine.com/home daily 1.0 2025-10-23 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/2a9306ca-93e5-42de-8dc9-3acf5472eeca/OptimalSales.png Home - Make it stand out Weekly Sales for a CPG from 2018-2022 (MM/10) https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/51769534-c82f-43ff-9033-69f9b2ccdff7/GE_Close.png Home Six-months of Closing Prices for General Electric (GE), plotting only the last three months. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/31330cf5-6d35-4692-9260-d0de872d97b9/MeasurementPanel.png Home - Make it stand out Science-of-Counting Measurements (clockwise from top left): 2a, Energy Displacement; 2b, Next Day Probabilities (NDP, Up or Down Days); 2c, Temperature and Free Energy; and 2d, Thermal Next Day Probabilities (Therm. NDP, Up or Down). https://www.decision-machine.com/support daily 0.75 2025-06-27 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/2be4a90c-77e6-4eb1-a060-bb4afa5432e2/Input-Output+Data+Dictionary.png Contact - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/564b0e16-341d-47d1-9121-88197ae1edd2/Data_Dictionary_Binary.png Contact - Make it stand out Data Dictionary for Binary States https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/b2421634-1724-4d5d-bc6a-12795e14a162/Config+File+Data+Dictionary.PNG Contact - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.decision-machine.com/covid19 daily 0.75 2022-03-03 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950047703-X1VSUNAFAOUUNJZ9YR5Y/Germany_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Germany Population approx. 83 million. The infection ratio was alarmingly high in mid January, but has dropped in recent weeks. Large oscillations in the free energy are still observed, and the infection ratio peaks are still high (close to the danger zone, greater than 0.15). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951309769-P8EWIAAD5SLXTLDEST8E/South_Africa_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - South Africa Population approx. 60 million. The infection ratio has dropped well below the danger zone (greater than 0.15), and the infections per day appear to be approaching a top Free energy has been increasing (energy available for infection), and moderate oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/66555502-0b55-421f-b750-74ebb8713108/US_Covid.png Covid Covid-19 data provided by the New York Times is used to calculate important thermodynamic quantities for Covid-19 infections (as a non-equilibrium process), such as the Free Energy. The Free Energy is the energy available to drive infection. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950221041-WEH6I25CZ5FC87O3FV5E/Netherlands_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Netherlands Population approx. 17 million. Infection ratio has dropped significantly from elevated levels. More free energy is available to cause infection, and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1586097551293-76UQ9Z7HZRUSDOOTWMUG/Detector.png Covid COVID-19 Detector design based on same science as a Geiger Counter (Hans Geiger, 1908). Infers Incidence and Infections. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949845693-XQEH9XGA4VWKX3489FRX/Spain_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Spain Population approx. 50 million. The infection ratio was very high, moderated (well below the danger zone of 0.15), but is increasing again. Oscillations in the free energy are observed, and have been large in the last two weeks. The curve is bending down, but is not near a top. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949633588-WM1ERKDHOU3JI07G5D26/Sweden_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Sweden Population approx. 10 million. The infection ratio was alarming in mid-January, has moderated recently and is well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Increasing free energy and oscillations are still observed. Recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951099178-ZSWTJ9SUNT9W3BCWJA4M/Greece_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Greece Population approx. 11 million. May be approaching a top. The infection ratio has dropped significantly from very high values, and is approaching zero. Recovery is signaled by negative infection ratios. Free energy (energy available to do infection work) increasing slowly. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949959481-91FONIB7IZ4KN1Q6XLBC/France_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - France Population approx. 67 million. The infection ratio was very high, moderated in January, but is increasing again. Recent weeks have seen infection ratios moderate. Oscillations in the free energy are observed and are increasing in size. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949102071-OM1TOFHJAB01PUBZ8GE8/SouthKorea_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - South Korea South Korea saw very large infection ratios in December and early January. Significant improvement in the infection ratio was been seen recently, and a leveling off of the average infections per day. Recovery will be seen when the infection ratio drops below zero. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950674037-5IM5271AFEKEWV7UIHIQ/Russia_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Russia Population approx. 147 million. The infection ratio continues to drop, but distant from recovery (negative infection ratio). Free energy observed to be increasing (more energy available for infection work), and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949413303-FGEL88RYOXDMUSZBIMAR/UK_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - United Kingdom Population approx. 67 million. Infection ratio has reduced significantly in the last two weeks, dropping well below the danger zone (greater than 0.15). However, increasing free energy values and large oscillations are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950545962-8RM80HET49X74WM7I7QY/Poland_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Poland Population approx. 38 million. The infection ratios were alarmingly high, but have dropped significantly in the last two months. Infection ratio now well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy observed to be increasing (more energy available for infection work), and the oscillations in the free energy are observed. The curve is bending down and a top is within sight. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949514338-1D3DZOVDUC3UCHPDRQVK/Belgium_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Belgium Population approx. 11.5 million. Passed over a top. The infection ratio is signaling Recovery (negative values). Belgium is in Recovery. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950292462-9E4UHZN91SKRYN9TJ7B4/Mexico_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Mexico Population approx. 129 million. The infection ratio spiked in early February, but has thankfully dropped out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy are observed and still too large. Mexico was flirting with negative free energy, but has managed to move away from spontaneous infection. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949763875-PX9B1UIG98JJHQW5X10N/Italy_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Italy Population approx. 60 million. Italy is approaching a top. Increasing free energy, and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. To see recovery again, the infection ratio needs to be consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/587fbf8f-08ab-41cf-8779-c9eaec428521/NYC_Covid.png Covid - Make it stand out Covid-19 data provided by the New York Times for NYC is used to calculate important thermodynamic quantities for Covid-19 infections (as a non-equilibrium process), such as the Free Energy, and their impact on the contagion. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949211908-N6VTJP5JS4WRRIMSGCFJ/Japan_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Japan Population approx. 127 million. The infection ratio has dropped to 0.15, and appears to be exiting the danger zone (above 0.15). Free energy increasing steadily, with persistent oscillations. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949155503-KKOH2GARG8VMSYWZO9GI/India_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - India Population approx. 1.4 billion. India has reached a peak infection rate and is in an extended recovery. The negative infection ratio has been maintained. The Free Energy is relatively stable; well away from self-propelled infection (negative free energy). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950734495-U39KEW33HOVZ978D7J3Q/Ukraine_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Ukraine Population approx. 42 million. The infection ratios were very high. but have pulled back considerably from danger zone (greater than 0.15)—currently, touching 0.05. Free energy increasing (more energy available for infection). Oscillations in the free energy are observed, but appear to be moderating. Ukraine will see a top and begin recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950455534-PARMC48BOJOVINNPYIL9/Switzerland_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Switzerland Population approx. 8.5 million. The infection ratio has moderated in the last three weeks. Infection Ratio no longer in the danger zone (above 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy are observed, but are also moderating. Switzerland over a top, and will see recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative, https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950887360-JUFYN6FLPBCQ8WKEWMAU/Turkey_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Turkey Population approx. 83 million. The infection ratios have dropped, but are still slightly positive. Turkey has a top in sight. Free energy is leveling off, and free energy oscillations still not observed When the infection ratio is consistently negative, Turkey will have reached a top and will begin their recovery. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951167118-7JN11FFAQALZW2RIRTWB/Israel_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Israel Population approx. 9.2 million. Infection ratio well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy increasing (energy available for infection work) and oscillations in the free energy are subdued but still visible. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949155503-KKOH2GARG8VMSYWZO9GI/India_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - India Population approx. 1.4 billion. India has reached a peak infection rate and is in an extended recovery. The negative infection ratio has been maintained. The Free Energy is relatively stable; well away from self-propelled infection (negative free energy). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951099178-ZSWTJ9SUNT9W3BCWJA4M/Greece_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Greece Population approx. 11 million. May be approaching a top. The infection ratio has dropped significantly from very high values, and is approaching zero. Recovery is signaled by negative infection ratios. Free energy (energy available to do infection work) increasing slowly. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950455534-PARMC48BOJOVINNPYIL9/Switzerland_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Switzerland Population approx. 8.5 million. The infection ratio has moderated in the last three weeks. Infection Ratio no longer in the danger zone (above 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy are observed, but are also moderating. Switzerland over a top, and will see recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative, https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949413303-FGEL88RYOXDMUSZBIMAR/UK_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - United Kingdom Population approx. 67 million. Infection ratio has reduced significantly in the last two weeks, dropping well below the danger zone (greater than 0.15). However, increasing free energy values and large oscillations are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950674037-5IM5271AFEKEWV7UIHIQ/Russia_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Russia Population approx. 147 million. The infection ratio continues to drop, but distant from recovery (negative infection ratio). Free energy observed to be increasing (more energy available for infection work), and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950887360-JUFYN6FLPBCQ8WKEWMAU/Turkey_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Turkey Population approx. 83 million. The infection ratios have dropped, but are still slightly positive. Turkey has a top in sight. Free energy is leveling off, and free energy oscillations still not observed When the infection ratio is consistently negative, Turkey will have reached a top and will begin their recovery. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951309769-P8EWIAAD5SLXTLDEST8E/South_Africa_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - South Africa Population approx. 60 million. The infection ratio has dropped well below the danger zone (greater than 0.15), and the infections per day appear to be approaching a top Free energy has been increasing (energy available for infection), and moderate oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949211908-N6VTJP5JS4WRRIMSGCFJ/Japan_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Japan Population approx. 127 million. The infection ratio has dropped to 0.15, and appears to be exiting the danger zone (above 0.15). Free energy increasing steadily, with persistent oscillations. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949845693-XQEH9XGA4VWKX3489FRX/Spain_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Spain Population approx. 50 million. The infection ratio was very high, moderated (well below the danger zone of 0.15), but is increasing again. Oscillations in the free energy are observed, and have been large in the last two weeks. The curve is bending down, but is not near a top. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1586097551293-76UQ9Z7HZRUSDOOTWMUG/Detector.png Covid COVID-19 Detector design based on same science as a Geiger Counter (Hans Geiger, 1908). Infers Incidence and Infections. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950545962-8RM80HET49X74WM7I7QY/Poland_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Poland Population approx. 38 million. The infection ratios were alarmingly high, but have dropped significantly in the last two months. Infection ratio now well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy observed to be increasing (more energy available for infection work), and the oscillations in the free energy are observed. The curve is bending down and a top is within sight. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950221041-WEH6I25CZ5FC87O3FV5E/Netherlands_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Netherlands Population approx. 17 million. Infection ratio has dropped significantly from elevated levels. More free energy is available to cause infection, and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949959481-91FONIB7IZ4KN1Q6XLBC/France_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - France Population approx. 67 million. The infection ratio was very high, moderated in January, but is increasing again. Recent weeks have seen infection ratios moderate. Oscillations in the free energy are observed and are increasing in size. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949102071-OM1TOFHJAB01PUBZ8GE8/SouthKorea_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - South Korea South Korea saw very large infection ratios in December and early January. Significant improvement in the infection ratio was been seen recently, and a leveling off of the average infections per day. Recovery will be seen when the infection ratio drops below zero. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949763875-PX9B1UIG98JJHQW5X10N/Italy_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Italy Population approx. 60 million. Italy is approaching a top. Increasing free energy, and oscillations in the free energy are still observed. To see recovery again, the infection ratio needs to be consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950734495-U39KEW33HOVZ978D7J3Q/Ukraine_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Ukraine Population approx. 42 million. The infection ratios were very high. but have pulled back considerably from danger zone (greater than 0.15)—currently, touching 0.05. Free energy increasing (more energy available for infection). Oscillations in the free energy are observed, but appear to be moderating. Ukraine will see a top and begin recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613951167118-7JN11FFAQALZW2RIRTWB/Israel_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Israel Population approx. 9.2 million. Infection ratio well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy increasing (energy available for infection work) and oscillations in the free energy are subdued but still visible. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/66555502-0b55-421f-b750-74ebb8713108/US_Covid.png Covid Covid-19 data provided by the New York Times is used to calculate important thermodynamic quantities for Covid-19 infections (as a non-equilibrium process), such as the Free Energy. The Free Energy is the energy available to drive infection. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950047703-X1VSUNAFAOUUNJZ9YR5Y/Germany_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Germany Population approx. 83 million. The infection ratio was alarmingly high in mid January, but has dropped in recent weeks. Large oscillations in the free energy are still observed, and the infection ratio peaks are still high (close to the danger zone, greater than 0.15). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613950292462-9E4UHZN91SKRYN9TJ7B4/Mexico_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Mexico Population approx. 129 million. The infection ratio spiked in early February, but has thankfully dropped out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy are observed and still too large. Mexico was flirting with negative free energy, but has managed to move away from spontaneous infection. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949514338-1D3DZOVDUC3UCHPDRQVK/Belgium_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Belgium Population approx. 11.5 million. Passed over a top. The infection ratio is signaling Recovery (negative values). Belgium is in Recovery. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613949633588-WM1ERKDHOU3JI07G5D26/Sweden_Covid_Analysis.png Covid - Sweden Population approx. 10 million. The infection ratio was alarming in mid-January, has moderated recently and is well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Increasing free energy and oscillations are still observed. Recovery when the infection ratio is consistently negative. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/587fbf8f-08ab-41cf-8779-c9eaec428521/NYC_Covid.png Covid - Make it stand out Covid-19 data provided by the New York Times for NYC is used to calculate important thermodynamic quantities for Covid-19 infections (as a non-equilibrium process), such as the Free Energy, and their impact on the contagion. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1584630026627-V875GEYHPCK0U5CNWE6L/banner-1686946_1920.jpg Covid https://www.decision-machine.com/new-york-city daily 0.75 2021-02-22 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953160405-6HQ1Y8J3FL4KOAHLZ3MU/Westchester.png New York City - Westchester Population approx. 1 million. The Infection Rate is positive and elevated, but seems to be dropping back into Recovery (consistently negative infection ratio). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953114016-A029QJIF9KREYP6H3PH0/Nassau.png New York City - Nassau Population approx. 1.4 million. The Infection Rate is increasing again, and the Infection Ratio is positive and elevated. Infection Ratio is still modest. Early in the Ignition Phase, and could still drop back into Recovery with an effort. No evidence of newer, more virulent strains to date. Free Energy (energy available to drive the infection rate and ratio up) is level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952983230-V6I3U4B32NTL5R3LGSZE/Suffolk.png New York City - Suffolk Population approx. 1.5 million. The Infection Ratio is positive and elevated, but seems to be dropping back into Recovery. Small COVID-19 wave, but top seems to be in sight. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953232340-MKUWCQC0R5NYAR4HOXBH/Rockland.png New York City - Rockland Population approx. 330,000. The Infection Rate is increasing slightly again, and the Infection Ratio bouncing between positive and negative values. No evidence of newer, more virulent strains to date. Free Energy (energy available to drive the infection rate and ratio up) is level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952819095-3S7AXMKRI5LF1QMCPY2O/NYC.png New York City - New York City Population approx. 8.6 million. New York City has been in Recovery since the summer (infection ratio consistently negative), but Recovery has levelled off in the last two months. The Infection Ratio has been rising and in the last month has turned positive, but is still less than 0.01. No wave here. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953114016-A029QJIF9KREYP6H3PH0/Nassau.png New York City - Nassau Population approx. 1.4 million. The Infection Rate is increasing again, and the Infection Ratio is positive and elevated. Infection Ratio is still modest. Early in the Ignition Phase, and could still drop back into Recovery with an effort. No evidence of newer, more virulent strains to date. Free Energy (energy available to drive the infection rate and ratio up) is level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953232340-MKUWCQC0R5NYAR4HOXBH/Rockland.png New York City - Rockland Population approx. 330,000. The Infection Rate is increasing slightly again, and the Infection Ratio bouncing between positive and negative values. No evidence of newer, more virulent strains to date. Free Energy (energy available to drive the infection rate and ratio up) is level. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952819095-3S7AXMKRI5LF1QMCPY2O/NYC.png New York City - New York City Population approx. 8.6 million. New York City has been in Recovery since the summer (infection ratio consistently negative), but Recovery has levelled off in the last two months. The Infection Ratio has been rising and in the last month has turned positive, but is still less than 0.01. No wave here. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952983230-V6I3U4B32NTL5R3LGSZE/Suffolk.png New York City - Suffolk Population approx. 1.5 million. The Infection Ratio is positive and elevated, but seems to be dropping back into Recovery. Small COVID-19 wave, but top seems to be in sight. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613953160405-6HQ1Y8J3FL4KOAHLZ3MU/Westchester.png New York City - Westchester Population approx. 1 million. The Infection Rate is positive and elevated, but seems to be dropping back into Recovery (consistently negative infection ratio). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg New York City https://www.decision-machine.com/seattle daily 0.75 2020-05-27 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604032123-4A9YVLKX3T0ET52RMAVA/King.png Seattle - King The source strength (population approx. 2.2 million, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates over top in Recovery. Infection energy (-0.4) and ratio (-0.03). King in Recovery. Everyday the curve is pushed further down, the fewer the daily deaths going forward. We are discontinuing our US community analysis to focus on US States. Congratulations to the Seattle Community for a job well done! https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604058395-2C6BRKHGEPDI1QQL58W4/Snohomish.png Seattle - Snohomish The source strength (population approx. 815,000, times the inferred incidence rate) convincingly rolls over a top, but accelerates from Recovery. Infection Energy at 0.05. Infection Ratio rises to 0.10. The infection peak appears to have been on or near April 20th. Unfortunately there seems to be some backtracking in Snohomish County. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604269436-EWZOVDK94YJO1A5PMVLY/Washington.png Seattle - Washington State The source strength (population approx. 7.5 million, times the inferred incidence rate) hovering on a top. Hot-spots in Washington include Pierce and Benton Counties (see US counties web page). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604032123-4A9YVLKX3T0ET52RMAVA/King.png Seattle - King The source strength (population approx. 2.2 million, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates over top in Recovery. Infection energy (-0.4) and ratio (-0.03). King in Recovery. Everyday the curve is pushed further down, the fewer the daily deaths going forward. We are discontinuing our US community analysis to focus on US States. Congratulations to the Seattle Community for a job well done! https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604058395-2C6BRKHGEPDI1QQL58W4/Snohomish.png Seattle - Snohomish The source strength (population approx. 815,000, times the inferred incidence rate) convincingly rolls over a top, but accelerates from Recovery. Infection Energy at 0.05. Infection Ratio rises to 0.10. The infection peak appears to have been on or near April 20th. Unfortunately there seems to be some backtracking in Snohomish County. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604269436-EWZOVDK94YJO1A5PMVLY/Washington.png Seattle - Washington State The source strength (population approx. 7.5 million, times the inferred incidence rate) hovering on a top. Hot-spots in Washington include Pierce and Benton Counties (see US counties web page). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg Seattle https://www.decision-machine.com/san-francisco-community daily 0.75 2021-02-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612731469351-9WEWCF0TXOWG3D1FG3TO/Santa+Clara.png San Francisco Bay Area - Santa Clara Population approx. 2 million. Infection Ratio alarmingly high; peak infection ration has dropped, but still in the danger zone. Free Energy is increasing (more energy is available for infection work), and oscillations in the free energy (free energy doing work) are increasing. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612731317522-EYT6KVN551RCLALZ2Y46/Contra+Costa.png San Francisco Bay Area - Contra Costa Population approx. 1.2 million. Infection Ratio moderating from 0.4; still in the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy (energy that does work on the infection rate) are moderating. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612731469351-9WEWCF0TXOWG3D1FG3TO/Santa+Clara.png San Francisco Bay Area - Santa Clara Population approx. 2 million. Infection Ratio alarmingly high; peak infection ration has dropped, but still in the danger zone. Free Energy is increasing (more energy is available for infection work), and oscillations in the free energy (free energy doing work) are increasing. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612731317522-EYT6KVN551RCLALZ2Y46/Contra+Costa.png San Francisco Bay Area - Contra Costa Population approx. 1.2 million. Infection Ratio moderating from 0.4; still in the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Oscillations in the free energy (energy that does work on the infection rate) are moderating. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg San Francisco Bay Area https://www.decision-machine.com/los-angeles daily 0.75 2021-02-22 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952550988-2AGR0ZSMNZ4PLI4M8KIZ/LA.png Los Angeles - Los Angeles Population approx. 10 million. LA insight of a top. Infection ratio trend is down, and recently touched negative infection ratio values for the first time since December. Free energy still increasing and the size of oscillations persist. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1613952550988-2AGR0ZSMNZ4PLI4M8KIZ/LA.png Los Angeles - Los Angeles Population approx. 10 million. LA insight of a top. Infection ratio trend is down, and recently touched negative infection ratio values for the first time since December. Free energy still increasing and the size of oscillations persist. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg Los Angeles https://www.decision-machine.com/detroit daily 0.75 2021-02-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732491216-PO7BSLQ5HV1LYI4ZZ1ND/Macomb.png Detroit - Macomb Population approx. 87,000. Infection Ratio is positive, elevated, but in the last three weeks well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy has leveled off, but oscillations are still present. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732288041-Q7GT0G7ZL1ORAAGY2EGQ/Wayne.png Detroit - Wayne (Detroit) Population approx. 1.75 million. Infection Ratio has dropped in the last three weeks to a reassuring level. Flirting with recovery again. No evidence of the newer, more virulent strains of the virus to date. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732398129-WQYRF9JUGIYQKLPUJRI3/Oakland+Mich.png Detroit - Oakland Population approx. 1.25 Million. Infection Ratio has dropped to recovery in the last three weeks. Free energy is dropping again. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732491216-PO7BSLQ5HV1LYI4ZZ1ND/Macomb.png Detroit - Macomb Population approx. 87,000. Infection Ratio is positive, elevated, but in the last three weeks well out of the danger zone (greater than 0.15). Free energy has leveled off, but oscillations are still present. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732398129-WQYRF9JUGIYQKLPUJRI3/Oakland+Mich.png Detroit - Oakland Population approx. 1.25 Million. Infection Ratio has dropped to recovery in the last three weeks. Free energy is dropping again. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1612732288041-Q7GT0G7ZL1ORAAGY2EGQ/Wayne.png Detroit - Wayne (Detroit) Population approx. 1.75 million. Infection Ratio has dropped in the last three weeks to a reassuring level. Flirting with recovery again. No evidence of the newer, more virulent strains of the virus to date. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg Detroit https://www.decision-machine.com/new-orleans daily 0.75 2020-05-27 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604920258-TJDWEHMDY2X7D2EJGZ2M/Orleans.png New Orleans - Orleans The source strength (population approx. 395,000, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates further into Recovery. Top was on April 22nd. The infection energy slips to -0.5. The infection ratio at -0.03. We are ending our coverage on the New Orleans Community to refocus on US States. Congratulations New Orleans and surrounding counties for a job well done! We saw recovery first in your counties, and happy to see you keep it going. Best wishes to you. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590605041178-NGYBFGG1I1XKZZ70YM2P/Jefferson.png New Orleans - Jefferson The source strength (population approx. 440,000, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates into Recovery. The infection energy at -0.1, and the infection ratio jumps to 0.0. Important not to give the peak infection any human oxygen. We want to see the green curve always under the red from now on. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590605090663-OPXSUJKOCA7L8EKVNTHQ/Louisiana.png New Orleans - Louisiana The source strength (population approx. 4.7 million, times the inferred incidence rate) rolling over a top into Recovery. The latest hot-spots include Terrebonne, Calcasieu, St. James and St. Landry (see US counties web page). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590604920258-TJDWEHMDY2X7D2EJGZ2M/Orleans.png New Orleans - Orleans The source strength (population approx. 395,000, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates further into Recovery. Top was on April 22nd. The infection energy slips to -0.5. The infection ratio at -0.03. We are ending our coverage on the New Orleans Community to refocus on US States. Congratulations New Orleans and surrounding counties for a job well done! We saw recovery first in your counties, and happy to see you keep it going. Best wishes to you. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590605041178-NGYBFGG1I1XKZZ70YM2P/Jefferson.png New Orleans - Jefferson The source strength (population approx. 440,000, times the inferred incidence rate) decelerates into Recovery. The infection energy at -0.1, and the infection ratio jumps to 0.0. Important not to give the peak infection any human oxygen. We want to see the green curve always under the red from now on. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1590605090663-OPXSUJKOCA7L8EKVNTHQ/Louisiana.png New Orleans - Louisiana The source strength (population approx. 4.7 million, times the inferred incidence rate) rolling over a top into Recovery. The latest hot-spots include Terrebonne, Calcasieu, St. James and St. Landry (see US counties web page). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg New Orleans https://www.decision-machine.com/all-us-counties daily 0.75 2020-12-15 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1608056875402-5PJ49GO4AJ94JSN6WZCH/12-14-2020+Hot+Spots.png All US Counties https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1608056875402-5PJ49GO4AJ94JSN6WZCH/12-14-2020+Hot+Spots.png All US Counties https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg All US Counties https://www.decision-machine.com/all-countries daily 0.75 2020-06-06 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1591475115730-NN6M270PQ4CSMH4N73QZ/Hot-spots-country+6-5.jpg All Countries https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1591475115730-NN6M270PQ4CSMH4N73QZ/Hot-spots-country+6-5.jpg All Countries https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1585412721029-91G9HGP4O0HN0GT993LG/banner-1686946_1920.jpg All Countries https://www.decision-machine.com/about daily 0.75 2025-01-29 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1540066343103-7ZH6MHOPM4D29EWMSG6P/Headshot_LowRes.jpg Company CIO, Chief Data Scientist and co-Founder. Mark Temple-Raston has over 20 years experience on Wall Street. Prior to founding Decision Machine, Mark held global leadership positions at Citigroup in Global Functions, Enterprise Architecture Governance and the Chief Data Office. Before Citigroup, Mark designed and built enterprise business architectures and analyses in financial services, healthcare, pharma, logistics and aerospace. Mark holds a doctorate in Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics from the University of Cambridge, UK. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5bcb454d51f4d43ebee6638b/1540066396595-1L8TU8VULOT69VIM2164/michael.png Company CEO and co-Founder. Michael Lucente has 25+ years of comprehensive experience in international finance and has financed companies in a myriad of industries worldwide. He is an advisor, board member and investor with several companies and a VC fund and was an early investor in Facebook. Until 2008, Michael was a Managing Director with Merrill Lynch and held various senior positions, primarily Global Emerging Markets Structured Finance and Principal Finance for Latin America. After leaving Merrill Lynch, Michael managed a closely held ~$5B family office in Indonesia.